IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Bowling Green
Mid-American
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.6	#205
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.9	#60
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.3	#206

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#218

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.4%	4.0%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.7%	0.2%
Average Seed	13.6	12.4	13.7

.500 or above	39.3%	67.1%	37.7%
.500 or above in Conference	33.8%	55.1%	32.6%
Conference Champion	2.5%	4.8%	2.3%
Last Place in Conference	18.9%	9.6%	19.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.2%	0.3%
First Round	2.2%	4.0%	2.1%
Second Round	0.4%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 5.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 1.2	0.1 - 1.2
Quad 1b	0.2 - 1.6	0.3 - 2.8
Quad 2	0.9 - 3.5	1.2 - 6.3
Quad 3	3.8 - 5.8	4.9 - 12.1
Quad 4	8.4 - 3.6	13.3 - 15.7

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	31	@ St. John's	L	70-84	5%
Nov 12, 2018	127	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	74-79	22%
Nov 15, 2018	302	NC Central	W	72-67	77%
Nov 19, 2018	240	Hampton	W	79-77	56%
Nov 20, 2018	336	@ Detroit Mercy	W	86-76	72%
Nov 25, 2018	280	Drexel	W	78-74	72%
Dec 01, 2018	193	@ Hartford	L	73-74	37%
Dec 05, 2018	281	@ Cleveland St.	W	75-71	52%
Dec 08, 2018	235	Green Bay	W	79-77	67%
Dec 21, 2018	307	Western Carolina	W	77-71	77%
Dec 30, 2018	285	Tennessee Martin	W	72-68	73%
Jan 05, 2019	159	@ Kent St.	L	74-77	30%
Jan 08, 2019	142	Ohio	L	75-79	46%
Jan 12, 2019	219	@ Central Michigan	W	76-75	43%
Jan 15, 2019	111	Ball St.	L	74-80	40%
Jan 19, 2019	211	Western Michigan	W	75-74	61%
Jan 22, 2019	135	@ Eastern Michigan	L	67-72	25%
Jan 26, 2019	170	@ Miami (OH)	L	71-73	32%
Feb 02, 2019	65	Buffalo	L	76-87	26%
Feb 05, 2019	211	@ Western Michigan	W	75-74	41%
Feb 09, 2019	126	Toledo	L	75-80	42%
Feb 12, 2019	219	Central Michigan	W	76-75	62%
Feb 16, 2019	186	@ Northern Illinois	L	73-74	36%
Feb 19, 2019	184	Akron	L	73-75	54%
Feb 22, 2019	142	@ Ohio	L	75-79	28%
Feb 26, 2019	170	Miami (OH)	L	71-73	52%
Mar 01, 2019	159	Kent St.	L	74-77	51%
Mar 05, 2019	184	@ Akron	L	73-75	36%
Mar 08, 2019	65	@ Buffalo	L	76-87	12%
Projected Record						13.3 - 15.7	7.2 - 10.8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.5	1st
2nd											0.1	0.3	1.4	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.0				4.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	1.9	2.0	1.0	0.1	0.0					5.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.4	2.3	0.9	0.1	0.0						6.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	2.4	3.2	1.1	0.1								7.2	5th
6th								0.2	2.6	4.1	1.5	0.1									8.5	6th
7th							0.2	1.9	4.4	2.1	0.3	0.0									9.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.4	4.9	3.0	0.3	0.0										9.8	8th
9th					0.2	1.7	4.7	3.1	0.4	0.0											10.2	9th
10th				0.4	1.9	4.6	3.9	1.1	0.0												11.8	10th
11th		0.1	0.6	2.5	4.8	3.8	1.1	0.0													12.9	11th
12th	0.5	1.8	3.5	3.8	2.0	0.7	0.1														12.3	12th

Total	0.5	1.8	4.1	6.6	8.8	10.9	11.3	11.2	10.8	9.6	8.1	5.7	4.5	2.8	1.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	94.2%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	78.7%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-4	44.9%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	15.4%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.5%	2.5		1.4	0.8	0.3	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		50.9%		50.9%	7.0						0.0		0.0	0.0									0.0		50.9%
17-1	0.1%		98.1%	55.8%	42.3%	9.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		95.7%
16-2	0.3%		46.9%	21.8%	25.1%	9.9							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.2		32.1%
15-3	0.9%		20.0%	16.0%	4.1%	12.0										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.7		4.8%
14-4	1.7%		8.8%	7.7%	1.1%	13.1										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0		1.5		1.2%
13-5	2.8%		11.6%	11.5%	0.1%	13.3												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		2.5		0.1%
12-6	4.5%		7.2%	7.2%	0.0%	13.5												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0		4.2		0.0%
11-7	5.7%		4.2%	4.2%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	5.5
10-8	8.1%		4.0%	4.0%		14.4														0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	7.8
9-9	9.6%		1.2%	1.2%		15.0															0.0	0.1	0.0	9.4
8-10	10.8%		1.5%	1.5%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.7
7-11	11.2%		1.1%	1.1%		16.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	11.1
6-12	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		15.8																0.0	0.1	11.3
5-13	10.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.8
4-14	8.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
3-15	6.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
2-16	4.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
1-17	1.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	1.8
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		2.4%	2.2%	0.2%	13.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.4	97.6		0.2%